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Climate Scenario Analysis Readiness Checklist
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Structure a climate scenario analysis to test business strategy resilience against physical and transition risks across multiple warming pathways.
TCFDIFRS S2NGFS Scenarios
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Governance & Objectives
- Has the objective and intended use of the scenario analysis been defined? *
- Is there board and management oversight of the scenario analysis process? *
- Have the material climate-related risks and opportunities to be tested been identified? *
Scenario Selection
- Are multiple scenarios selected, including a well-below 2 degree (e.g., 1.5C) pathway? *
- Are reference scenarios sourced from recognized providers (IEA, NGFS, IPCC)? *
- Do scenarios cover both transition and physical risk dimensions? *
- Are the time horizons (short, medium, long term) defined and aligned with asset lifetimes? *
Impact Assessment
- Are transition risk drivers (policy, carbon price, technology, market) quantified under each scenario? *
- Are physical risk exposures (acute and chronic hazards) assessed for key assets and value chains? *
- Are financial impacts on revenue, costs, assets, and capital estimated? *
- Are climate-related opportunities assessed under each scenario? *
Response & Disclosure
- Has the resilience of the strategy been evaluated against the scenario outcomes? *
- Have strategic responses and adaptation actions been identified? *
- Are the methodology, assumptions, and results disclosed transparently? *
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